A couple weeks back I wrote about the similarities between President Trump and incoming New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani as it relates to populism. The basic idea is that there is growing discontent amongst the populace that government wasn’t or isn’t working for them. A libertarian point of view is that the government isn’t supposed to be working for us at all, but rather getting out of the way. As President Reagan once said, “The nine most terrifying words in the English language are: ‘I’m from the Government, and I’m here to help.’” Liberalism mirrors that idea of minimal governance, as does neoliberalism, with an emphasis on free-market capitalism. The emerging ideology of leftism is anti-capitalist and focuses on radical change of the system. While people refer to the left as liberals and the right as conservatives, it is safe to say that, by definition, Trump and Mamdani are neither liberal nor conservative.

But that’s semantics. Populism, whether on the right or the left, boils down to affordability, and we are in a crisis of it. It’s why Trump won in 2024, and why Mamdami won in 2025. It’s why both are promising things from cash payments to free bus rides for the regular folks.

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(2) comments

Terence Y

Thanks, Mr. Mays, for your column today highlighting potential solutions to housing affordability. A few issues to comment on (although folks much more attuned to the issue have written hundreds, if not thousands, of articles on problems with our housing market)…

The price to develop housing, affordable or not, is not affordable due to tacked on fees and assessments and whatever else local governments attempt to extort from developers. Costs ultimately paid for by buyers. Let’s find ways to lower tacked on fees and assessments. And we have government mandates that want developers to include solar roofing, EV chargers (whether folks have an EV or not), no gas appliances, or anything, low-flow showerheads, waterless toilets, etc. Let’s find ways to remove these silly “green” mandates that add costs to develop. Costs ultimately paid for by buyers.

There are numerous folks within our country who are not legally in the country. Let’s work to remove those folks from housing so folks in our country legally can access those units. There are homeowners that would like to downsize but why would they if their mortgage rates are 3% or lower? Implement portable mortgages so these folks can downsize and aren’t penalized with higher mortgage rates. There are folks who won’t sell because they’re penalized with capital gains taxes. Allow folks to sell their homes without paying a capital gains tax. Or increase the exclusion limit to $2 million over their baseline.

But will any of these solutions, including the ones you’ve listed, work? I’d say follow the money. Which means Democrats won’t do much to lower the costs of building or allow homeowners to move without penalty. They want/need the money. And increased housing costs help them, due to property taxes based on purchase prices (the higher the better). I could be wrong but history shows I won’t be. I’d say we’d see more affordability progress under the Trump administration than in California. And that’s assuming California doesn’t sue Trump for the umpteenth time because “orange man bad.” After all, if Trump is for it, Democrats will be against it.

Ariolimax

Some good ideas here, Jon. The avg age for a first-time homebuyer today is 40 y/o. The avg for a repeat buyer is 62. Housing affordability is around the corner but will take time. Experts predict 2026-2036 that 13-15 million homes will become available as the Boomers pass away. Combined with low immigration and even lower birth rates, supply and demand will shift significantly in the favor of affordability. It will be a slow process. Raising the limits on capital gains for older homeowners could help today with downsizing and opening up inventory to first-time buyers. Important point is using incentives over handouts.

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