The Dumbarton rail project, which local officials believe will dramatically reduce traffic congestion, faces a milestone in the coming months that could determine future funding for it.

The Metropolitan Transportation Commission sometime in the first half of the year will determine which transportation projects in the Bay Area are considered top priorities and included in the long-range planning document known as Plan Bay Area 2050, which is updated every four years. In a preliminary assessment by MTC that analyzes the cost effectiveness and equity impacts of projects, Dumbarton rail received a relatively low score, said Carter Mau, deputy CEO for SamTrans, at a meeting Wednesday. That score will be one criterion that the MTC board will use to decide whether the project is included in the regional transportation plan.

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