Why asteroid 2024 YR4 is unlikely to hit Earth in 2032
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The threat of a newly discovered asteroid has risen slightly in the past few weeks, as the world’s telescopes rush to track its course. But the chance of an impact is still quite slim.
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Scientists have finally given the all-clear to Earth from a newly discovered asteroid. NASA and the European Space Agency said Tuesday that after two months of observations, scientists have almost fully ruled out any threat. At one point, the odds of a strike in 2032 were as high as about 3% and topped the world's asteroid-risk lists. But ESA lowered the odds to 0.001%. NASA had it down to 0.0027%. But there's still a 1.7% chance the asteroid could hit the moon in 2032. Discovered in December, the asteroid is about 130 feet to 300 feet across, and swings our way every four years.
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