For all of their differences, Gov. Gavin Newsom and President Donald Trump have one thing in common: both are stealing from the future to pay for their budgets.
Trump’s thefts take the form of budget deficits that are financed by issuing U.S. Treasury securities that must be paid back by future budgets, plus interest, with money that future governments won’t be able to use for their own services. His latest budget is expected to add $4 trillion to the national debt.
Newsom’s thefts take the form of drawing from budget reserves that are supposed to be used to provide services during recessions and borrowing from Special Funds that are supposed to provide special services. Newsom has taken so much from budget reserves that his own Department of Finance forecasts the next governor will face his or her first budget without reserves. He also skips or shorts deposits to retirement funds that set aside money for future retirement payments to employees.
How did Trump and Newsom end up with deficits during an economic expansion? The short answer is that Trump cut taxes while Newsom increased spending. Deficits are expected to continue in both Washington and Sacramento. To make matters worse, by issuing budget debt during economic expansions, Trump and Newsom set up future governments for a double whammy during recessions when those governments will have to cover Newsom’s and Trump’s thefts, even as their own tax revenues fall.
Another thing Trump and Newsom have in common is throwing people off of Medicaid rolls while throwing money at favored classes. Trump’s latest budget subjects adults to work requirements, reduces funding and adds administrative hurdles, while Newsom’s latest budget imposes asset limits, freezes enrollment of new undocumented adults, and levies new fees on enrollees. Trump’s favored classes are corporations, higher-income taxpayers, tip-based workers and Social Security recipients who got tax cuts, while Newsom’s favored classes are government unions that got more jobs and higher salaries, and entertainment companies that got more corporate welfare.
Trump and Newsom aren’t the only ones budgeting with thefts from the future. In his most recent budget, Los Angeles Unified School District Superintendent Alberto Carvalho skipped an annual contribution to a fund set up to cover health care costs for retired employees. You would think he would know better since a principal reason for the deficit he is struggling with is past skips and shorts that have led LAUSD’s annual spending on retirement debt to nearly triple over the last 10 years to nearly $2 billion per year.
Each has their own reasons for their actions — Trump asserts that tax cuts will eventually produce more tax revenues, while Newsom and Carvalho assert that deficit spending is needed now — but all are adding to past thefts that are already robbing citizens of huge levels of resources. The federal government is already spending more every year on interest than the $833 billion it spends on defense; California is already spending as much on bonded and retirement debt than on the $23 billion it sends to the University of California, California State University and California Community Colleges systems combined; and LAUSD is already spending nearly 20% of its revenues on retirement costs.
By their actions, Trump, Newsom and Carvalho have just added to those burdens. Our country desperately needs leaders who care about the future.
David Crane is a lecturer in public policy at Stanford University and president of Govern for California, a political philanthropy that works to counter special interest influence over California governments. He wrote this for EdSource.org. The opinions expressed in this commentary represent those of the author.
(6) comments
Thank you David Crane for your insightful piece. As I'm sure you know Government debt is projected to grow faster than our GDP which will end in a financial crises if not stopped. A crisis would devalue of the dollar’s reserve currency status from which we gain an enormous world wide financial advantage. Unfortunately neither party has a firm resolve to reduce spending as politicians spend ever more money to maximize political donations from constituents.
quote: "LAUSD is already spending nearly 20% of its revenues on retirement costs."
School districts, community colleges, Universities don't pay property tax. That led to an incentive to buy and keep real estate. Apparently Stanford is the largest property owner in the Bay Area and is exempt from paying property taxes.
https://extras.mercurynews.com/whoowns/stanford.html
Redwood City school districts has hardly enough students to fill 7 schools, but segregates them by spreading them out to 12, while owning 17 campuses. That is 1.5-2x the amount of administration needed to run the real estate companies. For example RCSD is spending almost as much on new lighting fixtures as they do on classroom teachers per year.
These school districts are overfunded so Diane Papan and Josh Becker said they want Excess ERAF (education funding) going back to cities instead of the schools. It is the county formula that decides on what is enough funding for schools. And Diane Papan, Josh Becker and the Board of Supervisors say school districts are extremely well funded and don't need any more.
If schools and universities had to pay property taxes a lot of their focus would switch back to providing Education instead.
Thanks for your letter, Mr. Crane. This “stealing from the future to pay for their budgets” has been occurring, long before Trump and Newsom. Be that as it may, for argument’s sake, let’s assume your assertions are true (many are easily debunked, but I digress). What’s the solution? Raise federal and state taxes to continue paying for benefits – benefits which are being enjoyed by non-citizens of the USA? More tax income would be spent by Democrats, leading to more deficits, leading to higher taxes. Rinse and repeat.
Solutions? For those, of whatever political persuasion they are, who don’t like budget deficits, voluntarily pay your income tax without taking any deductions. In fact, write an additional check to the United States Treasury or Franchise Tax Board (for Californians) and tell them to apply it to federal or state debt, respectively. Vote to create government DOGE offices. Tell the Fed to stop being political and instead, reduce interest rates so the interest on our debt is lower. Now, Mr. Crane, what are your proposed solutions?
Benefits should be enjoyed by people who work for them
My solution is that billionaires should pay their taxes!
ICYMI, Mr. Bonilla, not only do billionaires pay their taxes, they pay more than their fair share in taxes, as millionaires do. According to the tax foundation (https://taxfoundation.org/data/all/federal/latest-federal-income-tax-data-2025/) the top 1% in earners pay over 40% of all total income taxes, the top 5% pay 61%, and the top 10% pay 72%. Why don’t folks, especially Democrats who believe in big government, opt to pay more in taxes, or write checks to donate to the feds or the state? It’s my understanding there are a number of Democrat billionaires and I’d bet here in San Mateo County, there are a number of Democrat millionaires. I’d also bet just about all, if not all, of them take as many tax deductions as they can. Maybe if they set an example of paying more taxes, others might follow. Meanwhile, Trump is doing something to eliminate waste, fraud, and abuse. Good-bye USAID and hopefully good-bye NPR and PBS funding in the very near future.
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