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Foster City residents face a choice in whether they want to pay to fund a new levee required by federal and regional officials or face an increase in flood insurance for those with federally backed mortgages.
The cost, per average homeowner is about $270 a year, whereas flood insurance would be in the thousands per year. So if you are one to be focused on the bottom line, then the choice is clear — vote yes on Measure P.
The city’s situation is by no means unique. The Federal Emergency Management Agency has been revising flood maps in the area since 2000 when San Mateo officials were first faced with making flood control improvements or having its residents pay for costly insurance. Through a variety of measures, the city of San Mateo is still working on fixes. Foster City residents, however, have one decision to make — whether they should borrow $90 million through this bond measure to pay for a new levee.
While some suggest the city should lower that amount by funneling some of its reserves into the fund, the city will be on the hook for any cost overruns, which are common in construction, so the reserves will likely be tapped for that.
Others argue that the city should be more transparent when it comes to the requirements for the new levee. While FEMA is requiring the new levee for flood control reasons, the Bay Conservation and Development Commission is requiring an additional 2 feet to address possible sea level rise. While it is true the city is focusing on the FEMA requirement, its officials are not hiding the CDBG requirements by any means. Fighting FEMA will be costly and likely unsuccessful and so will fighting CDBG. So while it could be argued the levee is not necessary because of the city’s unique lagoon and pumping system or because a 100-year-old flood will likely never happen, none of that matters to federal and regional officials with their own set of ideas on what is appropriate.
Rather than engage in a costly and likely fruitless battle, the city was smart to acquiesce and proceed with all due haste with a proposal that will cost a relatively modest amount and ensure property owners will not face thousands of dollars in annual flood insurance premiums.
FEMA maps have enlarged flood zones to force more people to buy flood insurance to increase the pool of funds. I do not live in Foster City but I come in contact with FEMA maps as part of my job. The people in Foster City are being given a false choice. What happens when that $90 million dollar levy no longer is adequate to prevent requirements of flood insurance the next time FEMA revises their maps. FEMA mapping is a racquet and the good people of Foster City are taking this without even questioning the map makers.
What if you could avoid paying costly flood insurance, get protected by a FEMA accredited levee and avoid paying 29% more for the levee bond each year for 30 years? Interested? The City has $20 million in excess reserves it could use to pay down the size of the $90 million levee bond to $70. Since they ALREADY have our $20 million, this will reduce the additional amount we would need to pay by $20 million. The election in November gives us a last chance. Vote “NO” on June 5th to let the City Council know you want the City to put a $70 million levee bond on the ballot in November. The only difference from passing it in June instead of November is that if it passes in June you will be required to make a 29% higher payment each year for 30 years!
I think the math is off since you would only get 29% (actually 28.5%) if dividing by the $70M the lower outstanding amount, which over states the savings should divide by $90M it is 22%, which sounds like a lot but assuming there are 10K homes in FC that works out to $9.55 per year in savings per house hold assuming 4% interest on 30 year bond. Then you have to pay about 30% tax on you savings so that is works out to just over $6 about a coffee and pastry at coffee shop of choice. I usually prefer to deal with percentages and dollar. Percentages can be very misleading if looked at by themselves. If you vote no, then you better also vote Republican in June and November. Perhaps a Republican Congress, Senate, and Trump can get rid of FEMA and you would not have a problem.
This whole episode reminds me of an old story: After an exam, a doctor gives his patient 6 months to live.
"But Doc! I can't pay my bill! . . ."
The doctor scratches his head, then says: "Alright. I'll give you another 6 months!"
FEMA reminds me of the doctor. If Foster City is a flood zone, then declare it a flood zone! If it's not a flood zone (and it's not) then what's going on here?
I've lived in Foster City for almost thirty years. I make it a point to check the tide charts and head on over to the levy when there's a King tide. Water levels aren't particularly close to the top of levy at these times -- maybe 3 or 4 feet from the top? Given current rates of sea-level rise . . . that gives us a couple of hundred years before we have a problem! (You can easily google and check tide charts yourself. It looks to me like high tide for the year will be on July 13th at 12:14 am.)
Part of the point here is that we _can_ forecast tides quite a way out; we know there's no current threat. Some people have been talking about run-up as potentially adding to the problem, but I've also heard that experts have expressed the opinion that storm run up won't exacerbate the flood issue in this shallow bay because an offshore storm that pushes water into the bay can't exist at the same time as storm within the bay that would cause run up. Part of the "yes on P" meme has been "it's cheaper to pay the extortion, oops, I mean bond payments than to pay the insurance." But it's unlikely that any existing loan in Foster City would be subject to this, since I doubt there are any government-backed loans that currently exist on Foster City homes. At the very least, I've never heard this relevant question quantified. How many existing loans will require flood insurance if FEMA declares that Foster City is a flood zone?
Yes, future loans will probably require flood insurance on an annual basis; but that also begs the question. Why can't lenders do independent analyses to recognize that there's virtually zero current risk?
(And as the author points out -- we have a pump system! How many other "flood zones" can say that?)
It's a frustrating situation, and I can't help feel that Foster City is being victimized. P will indeed probably pass -- there doesn't appear to even be a "No on P" campaign organized. I think this author is probably correct when he says:
"Rather than engage in a costly and likely fruitless battle, the city was smart to acquiesce and proceed with all due haste . . ."
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(4) comments
FEMA maps have enlarged flood zones to force more people to buy flood insurance to increase the pool of funds. I do not live in Foster City but I come in contact with FEMA maps as part of my job. The people in Foster City are being given a false choice. What happens when that $90 million dollar levy no longer is adequate to prevent requirements of flood insurance the next time FEMA revises their maps. FEMA mapping is a racquet and the good people of Foster City are taking this without even questioning the map makers.
What if you could avoid paying costly flood insurance, get protected by a FEMA accredited levee and avoid paying 29% more for the levee bond each year for 30 years?
Interested?
The City has $20 million in excess reserves it could use to pay down the size of the $90 million levee bond to $70. Since they ALREADY have our $20 million, this will reduce the additional amount we would need to pay by $20 million.
The election in November gives us a last chance. Vote “NO” on June 5th to let the City Council know you want the City to put a $70 million levee bond on the ballot in November.
The only difference from passing it in June instead of November is that if it passes in June you will be required to make a 29% higher payment each year for 30 years!
I think the math is off since you would only get 29% (actually 28.5%) if dividing by the $70M the lower outstanding amount, which over states the savings should divide by $90M it is 22%, which sounds like a lot but assuming there are 10K homes in FC that works out to $9.55 per year in savings per house hold assuming 4% interest on 30 year bond. Then you have to pay about 30% tax on you savings so that is works out to just over $6 about a coffee and pastry at coffee shop of choice. I usually prefer to deal with percentages and dollar. Percentages can be very misleading if looked at by themselves. If you vote no, then you better also vote Republican in June and November. Perhaps a Republican Congress, Senate, and Trump can get rid of FEMA and you would not have a problem.
This whole episode reminds me of an old story: After an exam, a doctor gives his patient 6 months to live.
"But Doc! I can't pay my bill! . . ."
The doctor scratches his head, then says: "Alright. I'll give you another 6 months!"
FEMA reminds me of the doctor. If Foster City is a flood zone, then declare it a flood zone! If it's not a flood zone (and it's not) then what's going on here?
I've lived in Foster City for almost thirty years. I make it a point to check the tide charts and head on over to the levy when there's a King tide. Water levels aren't particularly close to the top of levy at these times -- maybe 3 or 4 feet from the top? Given current rates of sea-level rise . . . that gives us a couple of hundred years before we have a problem! (You can easily google and check tide charts yourself. It looks to me like high tide for the year will be on July 13th at 12:14 am.)
Part of the point here is that we _can_ forecast tides quite a way out; we know there's no current threat. Some people have been talking about run-up as potentially adding to the problem, but I've also heard that experts have expressed the opinion that storm run up won't exacerbate the flood issue in this shallow bay because an offshore storm that pushes water into the bay can't exist at the same time as storm within the bay that would cause run up. Part of the "yes on P" meme has been "it's cheaper to pay the extortion, oops, I mean bond payments than to pay the insurance." But it's unlikely that any existing loan in Foster City would be subject to this, since I doubt there are any government-backed loans that currently exist on Foster City homes. At the very least, I've never heard this relevant question quantified. How many existing loans will require flood insurance if FEMA declares that Foster City is a flood zone?
Yes, future loans will probably require flood insurance on an annual basis; but that also begs the question. Why can't lenders do independent analyses to recognize that there's virtually zero current risk?
(And as the author points out -- we have a pump system! How many other "flood zones" can say that?)
It's a frustrating situation, and I can't help feel that Foster City is being victimized. P will indeed probably pass -- there doesn't appear to even be a "No on P" campaign organized. I think this author is probably correct when he says:
"Rather than engage in a costly and likely fruitless battle, the city was smart to acquiesce and proceed with all due haste . . ."
That doesn't mean we have to like it.
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Keep the discussion civilized. Absolutely NO personal attacks or insults directed toward writers, nor others who make comments.
Keep it clean. Please avoid obscene, vulgar, lewd, racist or sexually-oriented language.
Don't threaten. Threats of harming another person will not be tolerated.
Be truthful. Don't knowingly lie about anyone or anything.
Be proactive. Use the 'Report' link on each comment to let us know of abusive posts.
PLEASE TURN OFF YOUR CAPS LOCK.
Anyone violating these rules will be issued a warning. After the warning, comment privileges can be revoked.