Scott Morrow

Scott Morrow

Society will reopen to a significant public health threat said county Health Officer Dr. Scott Morrow, who illustrated the risks associated loosening the stay-at-home order amid a pandemic.

Pulling back the shelter-in-place mandate to allow more business and recreation will force hard choices for residents and workers throughout San Mateo County, said Morrow in a statement Monday, May 4.

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(16) comments

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MichaelHNachtigall

After reading this article I had to shake my head and smile about the nonsense in it. Dr. Morrow, you can do much better than this. Can you give us the probability or level of risk if we follow physical distancing, wear masks or coverings, and practice good hygiene?

A few days ago I calculated the level of risk or probability of exposure and infection to be less than 0.16 in the county. The total number of confirmed tests don't have much meaning, only the positives in the last 14-21 days do; which is around 550. Multiply that times 10 and you have about 5500 positive and carriers walking?around in the county. So the chance of getting infected is less than 1%.

I agree that testing and following up on positive persons and isolation of them which you have the authority to do, plus tracing very close contacts and quarantine them is the best strategy for containment.

County Manager Mike Callagy could be a little more consistent about tests and testing. He wants to do more "holistic-based testing"! How can you do that if the county can't even get traditional testing for infectious viruses done??? Unbelievable.

Be careful, be safe, be patient.

JAC

Agree with MichaelHNachtigall. Morrow's comments are so vague, they are essentially meaningless. Saying that you should be aware that you have a chance of getting infected anytime you go out is like saying you have a chance of getting into an accident anytime you get into a car. What matters is what are the levels of acceptable risk under the circumstances, given the massive impact shelter in place orders have on the economic, physical and mental welfare of our society and individuals. What has he learned about the virus from the data (which seem to show hospitalization rates far lower than capacity) he's seeing in the 6 weeks since he accused county residents of 'spitting in our face', and how can we move forward productively, given the current level of testing and how the virus seems to affect/not affect different ages and populations.

MichaelHNachtigall

Very intelligent reply JAC. How can we move forward productively is a good question for the county manager? I still can't get over "holistic-based testing however!???

kyle94401

51 deaths, 30+ over the age of 80. 750,000 people in San Mateo county. Do the math it’s not that hard.

Reader23

.0001% less than that... their more people dying naturally than this disease.

MichaelHNachtigall

Kyle, you need to look at the morbidity and mortality rates. Also, the 51 deaths need to be adjusted by subtracting the number of deaths (as an estimate) that occurred in the same time period say last year before the epidemic/pandemic. Initially, there was also a graph of co-morbitities on the county webpage at smchealth.org but now it is gone. Don't pick on old people, they might live to be a hundred. Be nice.

CJM

SMC needs to put a different lens on this. Dr. Morrow damaged his own credibility and ability to get through to SMC residents with that tirade in March, and doing things like giving interviews to the NYT :-(. SMC should choose someone else to be public facing, and stop Dr. Morrow from addressing the residents. This is already a hard time and his unilateral edicts are not helping.

MichaelHNachtigall

Hey CJM, I'll be the spokesman for SMC! Once I was the chief public health microbiologist for the county. But even then you could not give real information to the public. Everything had to be white washed by the spokesperson who now is Preston Merchant. Poor Dr. Morrow does not have freedom of speech nor freedom of the press. Sounds like the county manager is taking over. More of the same.

Be careful, stay safe, be patient.

shark37

Can someone please ask the good doctor why there is so little testing when counties all around us have greatly increased access?

MichaelHNachtigall

Sure, I have his e-mail address; Why do you think there should be more testing? The county manager wants to have universal testing. $$$

MichaelHNachtigall

I did, however I got a reply from someone else. Vague answer. More excuses.

kyle94401

Scott.morrow@smcgov.gov is his email. We have the right to share our opinions with him. Here’s the latest San Mateo county statistics draw your own conclusions. Everyone has a different risk profile.

kyle94401

Sorry, it’s Scott.morrow@smcgov.org

MichaelHNachtigall

I think that is not correct. I'll try it.

MichaelHNachtigall

I think that is not correct; try smorrow@smcgov.org. But you will still not get through to him. I have tried no luck!

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