Will herd immunity really matter? It's unfortunate that medical personnel use this term which derived from cattle with spontaneous abortion a hundred years age and from a study with mice! Can people be herded? or caged? A better term would be community immunity e.g. the people of San Mate…
Over-optimistic: unfortunately vaccines are not a cure; that is they are not "optimism for the cure" of coronavirus infections.
The Bay Area's Health Officers "believe vaccines will work in tandem with the daily habits and essential public health work that will ultimately end the pa…
Kathleen Kirkwood: It would be helpful if you report not just the adjusted cases/100k population but also the unadjusted cases/100k population of a 7-day average with a 7-day delay. The adjusted case rate of 7.6/100k is a fabricated number by the state; the real case rate is/was 15.2 whic…
San Mateo County's real case rate was 15.2 cases/day/100k population yesterday according to the state's dashboard. The adjusted case rate is an unreal adjustment which doesn't change the number of infected people in the county; it is only used to reward counties for doing more testing tha…
Mr. McVicker, you need to re-calculate everything because you used the wrong data to start your illogical reasoning. You used the adjusted case rate instead the unadjusted case rate of 15.2 cases per day/100k. Actually yesterday it was 24 and is increasing every day. Are you an actuarial …
Misleading Statistics: San Mateo County should be in the most restrictive tier. Data on the State's dashboard showed 194 positive tests out of 3010 specimens for Nov. 24 which is 194/3010= 6.4% positivity rate and not the 7day average of 2.3% with a 7day lag.
Interesting how county officials and state officials manipulate data and statistics. Although San Mateo County has a 5.7 case rate per 100k population, or about 48 new cases per day, the adjusted case rate is 2.9/100k or 24 new cases/day. However, in reality the county still has 48 or mor…
MichaelHNachtigall commented on Is herd immunity close in Bay Area?
minor correction: the vaccinated are susceptible to reinfection should be to infection with the variants.
MichaelHNachtigall commented on Is herd immunity close in Bay Area?
Will herd immunity really matter? It's unfortunate that medical personnel use this term which derived from cattle with spontaneous abortion a hundred years age and from a study with mice! Can people be herded? or caged? A better term would be community immunity e.g. the people of San Mate…
MichaelHNachtigall commented on San Mateo County preps for vaccine distribution
Over-optimistic: unfortunately vaccines are not a cure; that is they are not "optimism for the cure" of coronavirus infections.
The Bay Area's Health Officers "believe vaccines will work in tandem with the daily habits and essential public health work that will ultimately end the pa…
MichaelHNachtigall commented on San Mateo County slides back into purple tier
Correction: should state: a 7-day average of 122 positive cases/day/800k county population 7-days ago. I apologize for the misstatement.
MichaelHNachtigall commented on San Mateo County slides back into purple tier
Kathleen Kirkwood: It would be helpful if you report not just the adjusted cases/100k population but also the unadjusted cases/100k population of a 7-day average with a 7-day delay. The adjusted case rate of 7.6/100k is a fabricated number by the state; the real case rate is/was 15.2 whic…
MichaelHNachtigall commented on San Francisco, San Mateo counties moved back into purple tier
San Mateo County's real case rate was 15.2 cases/day/100k population yesterday according to the state's dashboard. The adjusted case rate is an unreal adjustment which doesn't change the number of infected people in the county; it is only used to reward counties for doing more testing tha…
MichaelHNachtigall commented on San Francisco, San Mateo counties moved back into purple tier
Mr. McVicker, you need to re-calculate everything because you used the wrong data to start your illogical reasoning. You used the adjusted case rate instead the unadjusted case rate of 15.2 cases per day/100k. Actually yesterday it was 24 and is increasing every day. Are you an actuarial …
MichaelHNachtigall commented on San Mateo County health officer: It is in your hands
Misleading Statistics: San Mateo County should be in the most restrictive tier. Data on the State's dashboard showed 194 positive tests out of 3010 specimens for Nov. 24 which is 194/3010= 6.4% positivity rate and not the 7day average of 2.3% with a 7day lag.
The adjusted case rate …
MichaelHNachtigall commented on San Mateo County stands by Verily partnership
Interesting how county officials and state officials manipulate data and statistics. Although San Mateo County has a 5.7 case rate per 100k population, or about 48 new cases per day, the adjusted case rate is 2.9/100k or 24 new cases/day. However, in reality the county still has 48 or mor…
MichaelHNachtigall commented on San Mateo County eying next stage
Interesting statistics! How do you get from 4.7 % to 3.5 adjusted case rate? You earn a case rate adjustment factor; 4.7 x 0.741 = 3.5
One more week of lower numbers and the county could be in the orange moderate transmission tier. Good Luck.