Showers this morning, becoming a steady rain during the afternoon hours. High near 65F. Winds S at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 90%. Rainfall around a quarter of an inch..
Tonight
Rain early...then remaining cloudy with showers overnight. Potential for heavy rainfall. Low 54F. Winds SSW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 90%. Rainfall near a quarter of an inch.
I recently finished reading a book on the history of California, written by Robert Glass Cleland. It’s titled, “California Pageant; The Story of Four Centuries.” Printed in 1946 by Alfred A. Knopf, Inc., the book was intended for a young audience. Nevertheless, it was a delight to read and very informative. One of the issues the book relates was California’s housing shortage at intervals during her early history. It first became a problem when the 49ers stampeded into Northern California during the Gold Rush. Along with “want-to-be miners” came all sorts of other people looking to profit from them. The sudden influx of citizens drove up real estate prices in cities like San Francisco and Sacramento. A vacant parcel in Sacramento for example was bought for $200 before the Gold Rush and sold for $30,000 a year later! During the same period, a simple room with zero amenities rented for $1,000 per month.
The next housing shortage focused on Southern California and was brought about by people moving west directly after the Civil War. With the war’s end came the expansion of the railroad. Moving to California suddenly became much, much easier. But unlike the northern part of the state which had a number of major cities, Southern California had few. It was primarily agricultural. To meet the demands of the population influx, cities and towns sprang up quickly. Growth and expansion persisted through the mid 1880s and real estate speculation went wild. To lure gullible newcomers from the east into buying, prospects were shown parcels in subdivisions with oranges neatly placed in the branches of Joshua trees.
Because the book was published before the end of World War II, it does not touch on California’s growth after it. The last instance of the state’s growth that is addressed is after the Great War, (as First World War was known prior to the outbreak of the second). Myriad factors played a role, including the war, the growth of the oil industry, the expansion of train and automobile travel and the invention and manufacturing of the airplane. In each instance of growth California faced, however, it was always able to accommodate because land and other resources remained abundant. If a shortage of anything existed, it was water and that was smartly addressed by the engineers who designed and built the dams, reservoirs and aqueducts still in use today.
Fast forward from where the book leaves off to when I moved to the Bay Area in the earlier 1980s. What I found was a vibrant and healthy state. In terms of housing, it was not hard to find a place to live. While my initial “home” was sleeping on a friend’s couch for a month, I soon found a room in a house, renting from a family for $300 a month. Next came sharing a two bedroom apartment near City College with three other guys. We each paid $400. When I wanted my own place, I easily found a one bedroom apartment in San Carlos. It rented for $750 a month. At no time in my search for housing was it difficult to find. Even when it came to buying a house, doing so was relatively easy compared to today’s market. All the cities on the Peninsula, San Carlos included, had an adequate supply of single-family homes, duplexes, condominiums and apartments from which to choose, or so that was my impression.
Then I ran for San Carlos City Council in 1999 and was informed otherwise. We were experiencing a “housing crisis.” It was said to affect teachers and firefighters particularly hard because homes were too expensive for them to buy or rent in the Bay Area. Compounding the problem, we desperately needed these folks to live in the same community where they worked. I found this odd because it did not square with my experience. I was always able to find an affordable place to live and always near my work. That is not to say the problem did not exist but to call it a “crisis” may have been a little overblown.
Today we actually do find ourselves in the midst of a housing crisis and the question is why? We have planners who seem to have known for decades that we have a “jobs/housing imbalance.” If that indeed is the problem in a nutshell, then why is not one we can solve? Certainly, as anyone who looks around on the San Francisco Peninsula can see, we have built a great number of new, high density buildings from South San Francisco all the way down to Santa Clara, and yet the housing crisis persists. Why? In my next column, I will offer further observations and my opinion.
A former member of the San Carlos City Council and mayor, Matt Grocott has been involved in political policy on the Peninsula for 17 years. He can be reached by email at mattgrocott@comcast.net.
When Democrats can't afford something it is called a crisis or racism. Their problems become the communities problem with the help of the media and public union representation.
I don’t understand this. Housing was easy to find in the 1980’s because we added a lot of new housing in the 1980’s. Then we largely stopped adding new housing.
See the chart on page 10 here - in California’s best year in the 2010’s we didn’t even build as many units as we did in the worst year in the 80’s. The worst years were far worse. http://www.hcd.ca.gov/policy-research/plans-reports/docs/California%27s-Housing-Future-Full-Public-Draft.pdf
I don’t expect elected officials to choose my policy positions but I at least expect them to have a grasp of the facts.
Or perhaps, there was so much building happened in the 1940-1970's (Bay Area's housing supply was almost double the national average.) that it took about 30-35 years for prices to rise to a point where it is somewhat profitable to add new supply. The economics of new housing no matter how much everyone wants it simply does not work, which is why office space is winning. Unless someone is will to give up their land or encroach on open space. Mandating all govt land go to housing first is not the best use of their limited land and housing is not the only need.
I was gratified to read Matt Grocott's opinion piece and the way he put today's housing shortage in historic context. I look forward to see what he proposes in his next piece to address the current housing crisis.
Perhaps Mr. Grocott should take out more recent books on this subject from the library. When Mr. Grocott was on the City Council of San Carlos, he endorsed programs of new housing for the city adding to it's population. This housing was to attract more affluent residents. Now there are fewer grocery markets near these new buildings It was stated that these new residential buildings would alleviate car use in the city already with many existing auto problems. New resident's cars will now be needed for daily shopping. This cannot be blamed on the state or a political party.
Today's Daily Post newspaper has an article "Growth on Minds of Residents" which outlines results of a survey given by a pollster to San Carlos residents. Changes to improve San Carlos... #1 Limit Growth, development...33%, #2 Reduce traffic congestion...24%, #3 Improve parking...15% #4 Improve infrastructure, roads etc. ...9% #5 Provide more affordable housing...5% and more......
Thanks, Matt, for a most interesting and helpful article.
Matt, there is plenty of housing available in San Mateo County (nearly 3000 available today, rentals and for sale, today Google it).
So the problem is not availability rather it's affordability, and so I eagerly look forward to your next article to find real solutions to solve our affordability crisis.
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(9) comments
When Democrats can't afford something it is called a crisis or racism. Their problems become the communities problem with the help of the media and public union representation.
Do you charge the Democrats rent for all the space they take up in your head?
No, they charge me. That is my point
I don’t understand this. Housing was easy to find in the 1980’s because we added a lot of new housing in the 1980’s. Then we largely stopped adding new housing.
See the chart on page 10 here - in California’s best year in the 2010’s we didn’t even build as many units as we did in the worst year in the 80’s. The worst years were far worse. http://www.hcd.ca.gov/policy-research/plans-reports/docs/California%27s-Housing-Future-Full-Public-Draft.pdf
I don’t expect elected officials to choose my policy positions but I at least expect them to have a grasp of the facts.
Or perhaps, there was so much building happened in the 1940-1970's (Bay Area's housing supply was almost double the national average.) that it took about 30-35 years for prices to rise to a point where it is somewhat profitable to add new supply. The economics of new housing no matter how much everyone wants it simply does not work, which is why office space is winning. Unless someone is will to give up their land or encroach on open space. Mandating all govt land go to housing first is not the best use of their limited land and housing is not the only need.
I was gratified to read Matt Grocott's opinion piece and the way he put today's housing shortage in historic context. I look forward to see what he proposes in his next piece to address the current housing crisis.
Perhaps Mr. Grocott should take out more recent books on this subject from the library.
When Mr. Grocott was on the City Council of San Carlos, he endorsed programs of new housing for the city adding to it's population. This housing was to attract more affluent residents. Now there are fewer grocery markets near these new buildings
It was stated that these new residential buildings would alleviate car use in the city already with many existing auto problems. New resident's cars will now be needed for daily shopping. This cannot be blamed on the state or a political party.
Today's Daily Post newspaper has an article "Growth on Minds of Residents" which outlines results of a survey given by a pollster to San Carlos residents. Changes to improve San Carlos...
#1 Limit Growth, development...33%,
#2 Reduce traffic congestion...24%,
#3 Improve parking...15%
#4 Improve infrastructure, roads etc. ...9%
#5 Provide more affordable housing...5%
and more......
Thanks, Matt, for a most interesting and helpful article.
Matt, there is plenty of housing available in San Mateo County (nearly 3000 available today, rentals and for sale, today Google it).
So the problem is not availability rather it's affordability, and so I eagerly look forward to your next article to find real solutions to solve our affordability crisis.
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Keep the discussion civilized. Absolutely NO personal attacks or insults directed toward writers, nor others who make comments.
Keep it clean. Please avoid obscene, vulgar, lewd, racist or sexually-oriented language.
Don't threaten. Threats of harming another person will not be tolerated.
Be truthful. Don't knowingly lie about anyone or anything.
Be proactive. Use the 'Report' link on each comment to let us know of abusive posts.
PLEASE TURN OFF YOUR CAPS LOCK.
Anyone violating these rules will be issued a warning. After the warning, comment privileges can be revoked.