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Protesters chant and hold signs in defense of California’s sanctuary policy on immigration during the ‘People’s March and Rally to Stop Mass Deportations and Protect Immigrant Californians’ outside the state Capitol in Sacramento on Dec. 2, 2024.
In California, the Trump administration’s promises of mass deportations could cause widespread labor disruptions and economic losses, a new report from the Bay Area Council Economic Institute found.
Josh Becker
Industries from agriculture to building and construction are reliant on immigrant labor and expertise, with 10.6 million immigrants in the state, roughly 2.28 million of whom are undocumented.
The loss of these immigrants would cost the state an estimated $275 billion in wages and other direct and indirect economic activity, the report said.
Many of these undocumented individuals are also deeply embedded in their communities. Two-thirds of undocumented immigrants in California arrived in the state more than a decade ago — because of this, “they bring critical skills and knowledge to their work,” the report said.
They also generate roughly 5% of California’s direct gross domestic product, on top of paying $23 billion annually in taxes, per the report.
The administration seems to be scaling back its aggressive approach to raiding workplaces like hotels, restaurants and agricultural sites — and Trump himself expressed concerns around the economic impact of the immigration crackdown.
Still, California’s Democratic Party leadership have long pushed back against the Trump administration’s promises to deport record numbers of undocumented immigrants and continue to do so.
“With $275 billion in economic activity and $23 billion in annual tax revenue at stake, the numbers speak for themselves. California, with the fourth-largest economy in the world, cannot afford to turn a blind eye to the essential role immigrants play,” state Sen. Josh Becker, D-Menlo Park, said in a statement on behalf of the Bay Area Caucus.
He also acknowledged the human cost that mass deportations could cause.
“But we also must understand the real-world costs of these policies not just in dollars, but in human lives, community stability and long-term prosperity,” the statement continued.
In the agricultural field, immigrants make up two-thirds of the workforce and one-fourth of the workforce are undocumented, per the report. Losing those individuals to a mass deportation campaign would cost roughly 14% of the industry’s GDP, the report said.
And in the construction industry, 61% of laborers are immigrants and 26% of those immigrants are undocumented, the report said. Deporting those immigrants would cost nearly 16% of the industry’s GDP.
“Many of these workers play critical roles in everyday life: they grow and cook our food, clean homes and buildings, construct housing, care for children and the elderly, and ensure packages are packed and delivered,” the report said. “Their contributions are not marginal, they are foundational to the functioning of California’s economy.”
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PeninsulaLawAndOrder said:
Funny😆 Trump was democratically elected. He won the popular vote and every swing State 💪
Thomas Morgan said:
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(2) comments
The report does not mention the billions of $$ that are spent on health care, education, housing, food stamps and other social services for these undocumented types. If the numbers are correct, we could easily lose 16% of that labor force and keep the other 84% who can then demand higher wages that they are now denied. The undocumented workers suppress pay scales and also get paid under the table, tax free. Those of us who pay taxes in this state are subsidizing the lifestyle of these individuals and their employers. Don't let the Beckers of the world fool you as most of the statistics they present are pulled from thin air or are furnished by their political benefactors.
Sorry, but this fear mongering report from the Bay Area Council Economic Institute, if I ever bother to read it, might be correct in their estimates but in the end, it doesn’t matter what they report. The issue is more about California’s so-called leaders lumping in law-abiding folks (if we turn a blind eye to their only crime of crossing the border illegally) with violent criminals (who continue with crimes after their crime of crossing the border illegally). As long as California continues to conflate non-violent invaders to our country with violent invaders to our country and as long as California continues to protect non-citizens to our state more than California residents, California’s so-called leaders are contributing to the magnitude of this reported economic loss. California has made their bed and they must now lie in it. Whether California loses an estimated $275 billion in wages and other direct and indirect economic activity is up to them. Actions have consequences.
Now imagine, if you will, California honored ICE detainers and assisted ICE and Border Patrol with removing violent criminals. Chances are highly likely that ICE would place lower priority, if any priority at all, in deporting the millions of non-violent criminals working in CA. ICE could then concentrate on other states that do not cooperate with ICE, knowing California was cooperating and assisting ICE’s main focus. While also shielding millions of workers from being scooped up in deportation raids. So why is California sacrificing everyone instead of just the folks who commit violent crimes? Perhaps otherwise “law abiding” folks should ask our so-called leaders why they should also be victims. BTW, it’s interesting the photo depicts professionally printed signs. Must have been another staged “professional” protest.
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