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Wall Street remains near its record even after oil prices rise on worries about the Iran war
Oil prices are rising following the latest rise of tensions between the United States and Iran, but the moves are much more modest than they were earlier in their war
The S&P 500 slipped 0.2% after the United States attacked and seized an Iranian-flagged cargo vessel over the weekend that it said had tried to evade its blockade of Iranian ports. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 45 points, 0.1%, as of 9:35 a.m. Eastern time, and the Nasdaq composite was 0.2% lower.
The price for a barrel of Brent crude oil, the international standard, climbed 3.8% to $93.84 on worries that Iran could keep petroleum pent up in the Persian Gulf if it continues to block tankers from exiting the Strait of Hormuz.
It’s all a turnaround from the last trading day on Wall Street, when stocks soared and oil prices tumbled after Iran said Friday it was reopening the strait to commercial traffic. That enthusiasm vanished in just a day, after Iran closed the strait again Saturday following the U.S. decision to press ahead with its blockade of Iranian ports.
The next big deadline is looming on Tuesday night at 8 p.m. Eastern time, which is early Wednesday morning Tehran time, when a ceasefire agreement between the United States and Iran is scheduled to expire.
Companies with big fuel bills fell to some of Wall Street’s larger losses following the rise in crude’s cost, as they have through much of the war. Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings dropped 4.2%, and Carnival lost 1.4%.
United Airlines slipped 0.8%, and American Airlines fell 4.2% after American said it’s not interested in a merger with United. Airline stocks had flown higher last week following a report saying United wanted to combine with its rival.
Still, oil prices remain well below the high points reached so far in the war. Brent crude’s price briefly got above $119 per barrel when fears were at their highest. And the S&P 500 is only a touch below its all-time high set on Friday, while remaining above the high it set before the war.
That suggests investors still see a possibility of a U.S.-Iranian agreement that could get oil flowing again from the Middle East to customers worldwide. It would be in both countries’ economic interests to end the war.
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Another big reason for the strength of the U.S. stock market is the big profits that U.S. companies have been reporting for the first three months of 2026, as well as expectations for continued growth.
Several of the biggest U.S. banks have said they see the U.S. economy as remaining resilient, even with all the risks laying on top of it, after reporting stronger profits than analysts expected.
“Despite geopolitical risks, the earnings recovery remains intact,” according to Morgan Stanley strategists led by Michael Wilson. It’s remained so solid that analysts have even raised their profit expectations for the spring of 2026 since the war began.
On the winning side of Wall Street was TopBuild, a distributor of insulation and building products, which jumped 17.3%. QXO is buying it in a deal valued at roughly $17 billion.
QXO said the deal would make it the continent’s second-largest publicly traded building products distributor, and its stock fell 6.1%.
In stock markets abroad, indexes fell in Europe following a better finish in Asia. Germany’s DAX lost 1.1%, and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng added 0.8% for two of the world’s bigger moves.
AP Business Writers Matt Ott and Elaine Kurtenbach contributed to this report.
Copyright 2026 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed without permission.
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