As soon as the New York Giants put in the card to draft Jaxson Dart with he 25th overall pick in April the time was ticking for when he would take over as starter.
Even though New York had signed Russell Wilson in free agency and quarterbacks like Patrick Mahomes and Jordan Love thrived after sitting most or all of their rookie seasons, the days of patience with highly-drafted quarterbacks are mostly in the past.
Dart joins fellow rookie and No. 1 overall pick Cam Ward as starting QBs before the end of September of their rookie seasons with Ward beginning the season as the starter in Tennessee.
More than two-thirds of all quarterbacks drafted in the first round since the start of the rookie wage scale in 2011 started their first game within the first four weeks of their NFL careers. Twenty-two of the 49 rookie QBs started in Week 1, with 11 more taking over the role within the next three weeks.
Seven more made their first starts in the first half of their rookie seasons, with six — including Mahomes — waiting until near the end of their first seasons. Love was one of three first-round quarterbacks since 2011 who waited until year two to make their first starts.
The 47 first-round quarterbacks from 2011-24 averaged 10.8 starts as rookies, posting a .395 winning percentage and an 82.8 passer rating, compared to a league average of 89.3 in that span.
First-round QBs from the start of the common draft era in 1967 through 2010, averaged only 5.1 starts as rookies with many needing to serve as apprentices before taking over as starters.
Close calls for Bucs and 49ers
Tampa Bay and San Francisco are two of the six teams — the most since 2020 — off to 3-0 starts this season, but it hasn't been easy.
The Buccaneers have scored the winning points with 59 seconds, 6 seconds and 0 seconds remaining on the game clock this season, becoming the first team in the Super Bowl era to record a winning score in the final minute of regulation of the first three games. Tampa Bay has a point differential of plus-6.
In fact, only two teams since the 1970 merger have done it three games in a row at any point of a season with Pittsburgh pulling it off in 2017 and the New York Giants in 1994.
The 49ers haven't been as dramatic getting to 3-0 but have outscored the opposition by only 10 points, including a 16-15 win on a last-second field goal against Arizona on Sunday.
Pulling out three straight nail-biters to open a season is great for the record but it doesn’t always bode well for the future.
Eight other teams have started 3-0 with point differential of plus-10 or lower with Tampa Bay's plus-6 tied for the lowest with Tennessee in 2020 and Washington in 2005.
The Titans lost in the wild-card round that year with Washington getting knocked out in the divisional round. Three of the other six — Jacksonville in 2004, New England in 1999 and Cleveland in 1979 — missed the playoffs entirely.
Chicago in 1991 and Buffalo in 1998 lost in the wild-card round and only one team made it as far as the conference championship. The Raiders in 1976 won the Super Bowl.
Philadelphia would have been in that group if not for a blocked field goal return for a touchdown by Jordan Davis on the final play of a 33-26 win over the Rams that increased the point differential for the undefeated Eagles from plus-8 to plus-14.
Chargers dominating AFC West
The Los Angeles Chargers are putting a stranglehold on the AFC West race.
The Chargers beat Denver 23-20 on Sunday to complete a sweep through the first round of division games after already toppling Kansas City in the opener and Las Vegas in Week 2.
The Chargers were the 77th team since the merger to open a season with three straight games against division foes and just the 12th to sweep those games. The last team to do it had been Chicago in 2006 on the way to a Super Bowl appearance.
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Five of the previous 11 teams to do it ended up reaching the Super Bowl with Dallas winning it all in the 1992 season and Tennessee (1999), Miami (1982) and Minnesota (1974) joining the Bears as teams to lose the title game.
The Chargers pulled off the feat for the second time, having also done it in 1980 on the way to the AFC title game.
Only one of those teams to start the season with three straight division wins had a lead of at least two games over every other team in the division with Minnesota doing it in 2003. The Vikings actually missed the playoffs that season, finishing 9-7 and losing out on the division title to Green Bay when they allowed two TDs to Arizona in the final 2 minutes of the season finale.
Slow-starting Chiefs
The Kansas City Chiefs had typically been a fast-starting offense with Patrick Mahomes at quarterback, leading the NFL with 197 first-half touchdowns in the regular season from 2018-24.
That hasn't been the case of late as Kansas City's sluggish play on offense being most evident in the first half.
Before losing last season's Super Bowl to Philadelphia, the Chiefs had scored TDs on 35.1% of all first-half drives since he made his first start in the 2017 season finale. Josh Allen had the second highest rate at 30.1% in that span.
But starting with the Super Bowl loss to the Eagles and continuing for the first three games of this season, the Chiefs have scored only one offensive touchdown on 21 non-kneel down drives for a rate of 4.8%.
New Yuck, New Yuck
The calendar hasn't turned to October and the NFL's two teams in the New York City market are already looking at lost seasons.
Not that this is anything new.
For the third time in the past six seasons, both the New York Giants and Jets have opened the season with three straight losses. Those two teams began 0-3 in the same season only twice in the first 60 seasons of the two franchises.
The Giants and Jets couldn't recover from those previous 0-3 starts in 2020 and '21 with the Giants going 6-10 and 4-12 in those seasons while the Jets posted back-to-back last-place finishes with records of 2-14 and 4-13.
The Jets have the NFL's longest active playoff drought having not made it since 2010 — three years shy of the post-merger record of 17 straight seasons without a playoff berth held by Cleveland, Buffalo and New Orleans.
The Giants have made the postseason just twice in the 13 seasons since winning the franchise's fourth Super Bowl title in the 2011 season.
The Jets and Giants are the NFL's two worst teams over the past 10 seasons with the Jets ranking last with 46 wins since the start of the 2016 season and the Giants second-to-last with 51 wins.
Inside the Numbers dives into NFL statistics, streaks and trends each week. For more Inside the Numbers, head here.
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