Editor,
Basic economic reality is not always the forte of those who write newspaper opinion pieces.
Editor,
Basic economic reality is not always the forte of those who write newspaper opinion pieces.
When columnist John Horgan argued requiring more affordable housing harms those who don’t quality for it — by raising the cost of their housing in new developments — he stumbled into several common fallacies (“Picking winners, losers in housing” in the March 2 edition of the Daily Journal).
Policy changes often get evaluated by comparing them to the present. That ignores the very real possibility the present is not optimal. The slavers of the Confederacy accurately argued eliminating slavery would harm them economically. But they were dead wrong in doing so because the starting point, the acceptance of slavery to make money, was vile.
Focusing on expanding affordable housing in new developments ignores all the other distortions in the housing marketplace which could and should be adjusted. It isn’t lack of demand or lack of developer interest that’s led to a lack of affordable housing. It’s caused by all sorts of local rules which prohibit or make uneconomic the construction of more housing.
Affordable housing programs are a sign we’re trying to have our cake and eat it, too. We want the benefits of a vibrant economy ... but we’d rather the people needed to staff it live someplace else so as not to reduce our quality of life. And our escalating home values, for those of us fortunate enough to own one.
If you’re interested in learning more about how economics, history, politics, psychology and science intersect and affect governance, check out the podcasts Seth Rosenblatt and I are publishing at https://www.TheBoilingFrog.net.
Mark Olbert
San Carlos
The letter writer is the former mayor of San Carlos.
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(5) comments
Any and all Government intervention creates winners, looser, and inequality. Sounds like some like to deny science and others like to deny economics.
Mr. Olbert - the basic premise that developers must also include low income units in their buildings is false to begin with. This is a typical example of social engineering with unintended consequences. Thus, the recently enacted housing bills that do nothing but upset current homeowners and would force the destruction of residential neighborhoods. We should look at how Northern European countries handle these issues instead of making it a political football. There, low income housing is not equated with poverty and poor maintenance. Eligible renters are periodically means-tested, their dwellings are inspected for cleanliness and internal upkeep is the responsibility of the renter. Any violation that the renter refuses to correct is subject to the renter's eviction. Housing is built using low government sponsored loans that appear to cover all debt service. Let's not kid ourselves, developers should not be held responsible for economic distress caused by poor government policy. Instead have them offer viable solutions and let them build on vacant property already owned by the State of the cities.
It is far more difficult to own a home in Europe than the US.
Perhaps, Mr. Olbert, if tacked on fees and taxes for building affordable housing were reduced then perhaps developers, instead of just showing interest, would actually build affordable housing. Developers aren’t going to build housing for no, or little, profit when they can make more money in commercial buildings.
On another note, perhaps you could inform us as to what happens to property taxes if a homeowner decides to take advantage of new state laws and modify their existing structure. Will the homeowner’s property tax base be reassessed to current values, forever losing their original property tax base? If so, this homeowner may see their property tax balloon when they can do nothing and keep their existing base. Does it make sense to remodel for potential income from a renter (assuming they can ever get the renter evicted if said renter decides to stop paying rent)? Maybe for a relative, it may make sense, but one must remember that this new property tax base rate will go on forever, even if the relative leaves. For individual homeowner’s, it may not make financial sense to modify their properties. For investors, it makes sense as they’ll pass on their costs and make a profit.
The high price of housing in the bay area is mostly due to the high cost of land and SB9 has added to this rate of increase. Instead of "stacking and pack people" we should be investing in high speed commuter transportation to far more affordable housing in Livermore, Mountain House, Modesto, Stockton, Holster, Salinas etc. It'd save people making 5 hr daily commutes, reduce highway constructions and reduce the rate of increase in land prices closer in.
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