The turmoil shaking global financial markets reflects a sudden fear that the Federal Reserve may have held its key interest rate too high for too long, heightening the risk of a U.S. recession.Economists and Wall Street traders now expect the Fed to cut its benchmark rate, which influences borrowing costs for consumers and businesses, much faster than they thought just a week ago. Chair Jerome Powell has said that the Fed could quickly lower rates if it decides that it's needed to bolster the economy. Yet fear of a recession has become a hallmark of the post-pandemic economy — and has been wrong every time. Instead, contrary to what most analysts have predicted, steady economic growth and a solid pace of hiring have so far persisted.

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NEW YORK — The stock market is starting to feed economic fear, not just reflect it.