Sue Lempert’s column “Let’s Celebrate Election Day” (Nov. 4 edition of the Daily Journal) sees three years into the future. Unfazed by formidable statistics in District Five of San Mateo County, she predicts that the winner of the 2016 supervisor’s seat will be David Canepa.
Her analysis weighs the prospects of three future candidates and their chances to succeed Adrienne Tissier. They are David Canepa, Michael Guingona and Sal Torres — all incumbent Daly City councilmen. Guingona is Filipino American, Torres is Mexican American, Canepa is white. The racial makeup of the district’s population is 52 percent Asian, 18 percent Hispanic, 23 percent white and 4 percent black. The vast majority of the Asians are Filipino Americans.
Ms. Lempert concludes that despite the puny 23 percent share of the population, whites will be able to elect Canepa as District Five supervisor to succeed Tissier. That conclusion is based on past experience that shows the apathy of minorities toward the electoral processes. But past performance does not guarantee the same results for the future. The winds of change have come with the victory of Measure B.
As the result of the 2010 census, the racial minorities of San Mateo County became aware that they comprise 58 percent of the county’s population. Measure B won 58.5 percent of the votes despite the vehement opposition of four incumbent supervisors and U.S. Rep. Jackie Speier, D-San Mateo. Is that a statistical fluke or an indication that minorities have finally awakened?
Measure B got on the ballot because of a lawsuit against the county contending violations of the California Civil Rights Act.
Guy M. Guerrero